Work out counselling seat probability instantly with clear inputs, formula shown and shareable results.
Last year's closing rank is the best available predictor, adjusted for changes in seats and in the applicant pool: more seats push the closing rank later, more applicants pull it earlier. The margin between your rank and the adjusted closing rank drives the probability.
Adjusted closing rank
Adjusted = Last year's closing rank x (1 + Seat change %) / (1 + Applicant change %)
Probability
Scaled from the rank margin relative to a 15% band around the closing rank
Indicative estimate only. Fees, entitlements, limits and formulas vary by jurisdiction, statute, policy wording and the facts of the case. This is not legal, tax, insurance or financial advice — confirm with a qualified professional or the relevant authority.
Because of changes in seat matrix, candidate preferences, new institutions opening and shifts in the applicant pool. Movement of 10-15% is normal.
No. Use three years of data and look at the trend and the spread, not just the most recent figure.