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Estimation Accuracy

Compare estimated versus actual task hours to measure accuracy.

About Estimation Accuracy

The ratio of actual to estimated hours reveals the overrun percentage, and scaling the per-task gap by the task count shows the total impact. Tracking estimate accuracy calibrates future planning, since most teams systemically under-estimate by a predictable factor.

Formula

Estimation Accuracy

Overrun % = (actual / estimated - 1) x 100

tasks
Number of similar items the pattern applies to

Worked example

With the default values below, Estimation Accuracy returns Overrun Percent of 40.00%. Change any input above and every figure here is recalculated in your browser.

Inputs used

Estimated hoursminimum 1
10
Actual hoursminimum 0
14
Tasks estimatedminimum 1
5

Results

Overrun Percent
40.00%
Accuracy
71.43%
Total Overrun Hours
20.00

Step by step

  1. 1Values used
  2. 2Estimation Accuracy
  3. 3Overrun Percent= 40.00
  4. 4Accuracy= 71.43
  5. 5Total Overrun Hours= 20.00

Assumptions and limits

  • The result is derived only from the 3 inputs listed above. Anything not among them is not part of the calculation.
  • In particular, this calculator does not take inflation, tax, fees or charges or compounding frequency into account.
  • Figures are rounded for display to 2 decimal places, so totals built from several rounded parts can differ slightly from the unrounded arithmetic.

How these calculators are built and tested is described on the Methodology page. If a figure looks wrong, please report it.

Frequently Asked Questions

How is Estimation Accuracy calculated?

Overrun % = (actual / estimated - 1) x 100 The ratio of actual to estimated hours reveals the overrun percentage, and scaling the per-task gap by the task count shows the total impact.

Why does Estimation Accuracy matter?

Tracking estimate accuracy calibrates future planning, since most teams systemically under-estimate by a predictable factor.

What values do I need to enter?

This calculator takes 3 inputs: Estimated hours, Actual hours, Tasks estimated. The pre-filled defaults are a realistic starting point — replace them with figures from your own environment for a result you can act on.

Estimation Accuracy – Calculate Overrun Percent & Accuracy