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Calcrivo

Card Probability Calculator

Calculate the probability of drawing specific cards from a standard 52-card deck.

Inputs

e.g. 4 aces, 13 hearts

Probability

0.29947364

Odds (1 in X)

1 in 3

Step by step

  1. Values used

    Favorable Cards in Deck = 4; Cards Drawn = 5; Desired Successes = 1; Deck Size = 52

  2. Formula applied

    P = C(K,k) × C(N−K, n−k) / C(N, n)

  3. Probability

    = 0.29947364

  4. Odds (1 in X)

    = 1 in 3

How it works

Card probability without replacement follows the hypergeometric distribution. The probability of drawing exactly k favorable cards when drawing n cards from a deck of N cards containing K favorable cards is computed using combinations.

Formula

P = C(K,k) × C(N−K, n−k) / C(N, n)

N
Deck size
K
Favorable cards in deck
n
Cards drawn
k
Desired successes

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the probability of drawing at least one ace in 5 cards?

1 − P(no aces) = 1 − C(48,5)/C(52,5) ≈ 0.3412 or 34.1%.

Why is this different from the binomial?

Because cards are drawn without replacement, the trials are not independent. The hypergeometric distribution accounts for the changing deck composition.

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