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Calcrivo

Coin Toss Probability Calculator

Calculate the probability of getting exactly k heads in n fair coin tosses.

Inputs

0.5 for fair coin

P(exactly k heads)

0.24609375

P(≥ k heads)

0.62304688

P(≤ k heads)

0.62304688

Step by step

  1. Values used

    Number of Tosses = 10; Desired Heads = 5; P(Heads) per toss = 0.5000

  2. Formula applied

    P(k heads in n tosses) = C(n,k) × p^k × (1−p)^(n−k)

  3. P(exactly k heads)

    = 0.24609375

  4. P(≥ k heads)

    = 0.62304688

  5. P(≤ k heads)

    = 0.62304688

How it works

Coin toss probability is a direct application of the binomial distribution. With n independent tosses each having probability p of heads, the probability of exactly k heads is C(n,k) × p^k × (1−p)^(n−k).

Formula

P(k heads in n tosses) = C(n,k) × p^k × (1−p)^(n−k)

n
Number of tosses
k
Desired heads
p
Probability of heads per toss

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the probability of getting 5 heads in 10 fair coin flips?

C(10,5) × 0.5^10 = 252/1024 ≈ 0.2461 or about 24.6%.

Is each toss truly independent?

For a fair coin, yes. Previous outcomes do not affect future ones — this is the gambler's fallacy.

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