Work out promotion relegation odds instantly with clear inputs, formula shown and shareable results.
The required rate is the points still needed divided by matches remaining, compared against the rate achieved so far and against the arithmetic ceiling of three points a game. A required rate above the current one is the honest signal that form has to change, and above 3.0 means the target is already gone.
Required rate
points per game needed = (points needed - points so far) / matches remaining
points per game needed = (points needed - points so far) / matches remaining. The required rate is the points still needed divided by matches remaining, compared against the rate achieved so far and against the arithmetic ceiling of three points a game.
A required rate above the current one is the honest signal that form has to change, and above 3.0 means the target is already gone.
Enter points so far, matches remaining, points thought to be needed, points per game so far. The defaults shown are a realistic worked example — swap in your own figures to get a result you can use.